Sunday, January 6, 2013

Got Hawks?

The rumors have been circulating for weeks, but it will become official on Monday.  President Obama will nominate former U.S. Senator Chuck Hagel to be the next Secretary of Defense.

Hagel is a Republican.  Although it has become customary for recent administrations to name members of the opposing party to cabinet posts as a token of bipartisanship, particularly in their second terms, Republicans have consistently run the Pentagon for the past sixteen years regardless of which party has held the White House.  The lone exception has been outgoing SECDEF Leon Panetta, who has held office for a paltry eighteen months. 

The reason for this trend, I think, is not a purported desire for bipartisan amity.  Rather, it’s because Republicans have coopted national security as their policy issue.  Presidents of both parties have shown little hesitation to resort to military force; nevertheless, Republican administrations have cloaked themselves in a reputation for toughness the Democrats can never seem to match.  So, whenever a Democratic president taps a Republican to oversee defense policy he is sending a message that he and the nation will be resolute in the face of foreign threats.

The Democratic reputation for weakness has little historical basis.  In the past, even when they ran for office on a peace platform, Democratic presidents have stepped readily into the role of wartime leader whenever necessary.  Woodrow Wilson and FDR cemented the U.S. in its role as global power by leading the U.S. through the world wars.  Lyndon Johnson soundly trounced the hawkish Barry Goldwater in 1964 by playing upon public fears of thermonuclear holocaust, only to escale the war in Vietnam after he won. 

The so-called “Daisy Girl” spot aired by the Johnson campaign is still considered among the most effective political commercials of the TV age.  The best response the Goldwater team could muster was a message featuring a grim-faced Ronald Reagan downplaying Goldwater’s reputation as a warmonger.  Reagan’s legendary stature as the “Great Communicator” notwithstanding, the commercial was no match for the Daisy Girl ad.  The prospect of nuking little girls playing in meadows was just too unsettling for many voters.

Unfortunately, Johnson's eagerness to prove himself as a wartime leader permanently altered the complexion of his own party.  His insane escalation policy in Southeast Asia, along with the social divide created by the Civil Rights Movement, irrevocably split the New Deal coalition which had ensured Democratic electoral successes for nearly four decades. 

The result was that in 1972, the Democratic coalition prominently featured antiwar activists.  George McGovern ran on a promise to end the U.S. role in the Vietnam conflict.  Concurrently, the Southern Strategy had lured the better part of a key Democratic constituency—conservative whites—to the Republican Party.  In spite of McGovern’s bona fides as a decorated World War II veteran, American voters overwhelmingly chose the tough-talking Richard Nixon. 

The 1972 disaster tarred the Democrats with the peacenik brush.  Never mind that Nixon brought the troops home a few months after the election without any loss of face.  The Republicans were tough realists; the Democrats were wimps.  Jimmy Carter, who had spent more time in uniform than any president since Dwight Eisenhower, was dogged by this reputation.  If Gerald Ford had been faced with the Iran hostage crisis instead of Carter, and had he dealt with it in an identical fashion, it is unlikely Ford would have been judged a failure to the same extent as Carter.  To a public largely devoid of critical thinking skills, perception is reality and Carter went into the crisis already looking weak.

Post-1972 Democratic campaign themes didn’t always help matters.  A 1984 Mondale campaign ad interspersing images of innocent-looking children with those of launching missiles set to the strains of Crosby, Stills, and Nash’s “Teach Your Children” didn’t even win over aging Baby Boomers.  By contrast, the Reagan reelection campaign emphasized the theme of renewed American greatness.  Metaphorically addressing Cold War security issues, the “Bear in the Woods” ad made the case for a strong national defense in the face of an adversary whose intentions weren’t always evident. 

Nor did the efforts of Democratic presidential candidates to appear martial go over well; one need only recall Michael Dukakis’ infamous tank ride to grasp that simply posing with military hardware won’t automatically give you street cred.  Bill Clinton’s draft board contretemps garnered him conservative hostility in the ’92 race, though his antiwar stance during Vietnam had seemingly evaporated by the time he reached the White House.  The interventions in Somalia, Haiti, and the Balkans, as well as his eagerness to (figuratively) stand toe-to-toe with Saddam Hussein would have cemented the rep of any Republican administration, but few adherents of either party have cared to acknowledge Mr. C’s frequently belligerent foreign policy.

By the time of the 2000 election, the respective images of each party had become fixed.  Al Gore had gone to Vietnam while Dubya played hooky from his Air National Guard duties, but that hardly mattered.  The wimp factor loomed large, and Gore’s condescending, pedagogical persona did little to help the Democratic cause.  The red/blue divide was drawn down the very middle of the American electorate, a division which has changed little in the intervening dozen years.  Public opinion concerning the War on Terror and our ventures in Afghanistan and Iraq has largely followed this divide.

Republicans have dominated the national security issue for so long that the collective wisdom of the party leadership has trickled down to the rank and file voter.  (Popular belief may be one of the few instances where “trickle down” has actually worked.  It certainly hasn’t economically.)   One can learn this in just about any discussion with a Republican on defense and foreign policy.

I’ll give you an anecdotal example.  During the bleak second year following the invasion of Iraq, I was at one of my son’s Little League games and the topic of the war came up among the dads watching in the bleachers.  One of them, a pudgy electrical supplies salesman I’ll call Laszlo, was describing the battle for Fallujah with particular relish. 

Laszlo spoke sagely of flanking and envelopments and preparatory fires, of reconnaissance patrols and intel analyses and the marksmanship feats of snipers.  I mean, wow, it was like you were really there!  In my mind’s eye I saw flags waving and eagles soaring.  I could hear a Toby Keith anthem swelling in the background as F-16s swooped to punish the enemies of freedom.  It was all I could do to suppress the lump rising in my throat and the tears of pride welling in my eyes—

But I composed myself long enough to exclaim, “Laszlo, that’s an incredible story!  You obviously know a lot about this stuff!  When did you serve?”

Laszlo suddenly looked sheepish and said, “I tried to enlist after high school, but my trick knee kept me out.  My wife’s nephew is a Marine, and he told me all about it.”

Hmmm, yes, it’s always a bad back or a trick knee that prevents these suburban heroes from doing their part to safeguard democracy.  But that’s okay, because the simple act of registering Republican will make you an automatic expert on matters of war and peace. 

President Obama appears to agree.  Don’t misunderstand me; I’m criticizing the president’s political motives and not Hagel’s qualifications.  Chuck Hagel led an infantry squad in Vietnam and knows first-hand what it means to serve and sacrifice.  But the president’s audience for this move, the voters he’s trying to convince, are guys like Laszlo who are perfectly happy to send other peoples’ kids off to war.  

This is the place where I should say that the Democrats need to take back the national security issue from the Republicans.  This may not matter as much as I’ve implied, however.  Electoral choice is illusory in a two-party system.  Both parties are the tools of Big Capital, and peace is bad for business.  Consequently, it matters little whether President Obama chooses a Republican or Democrat to helm the Pentagon during his second term.  Senator Hagel is a good choice given the personal attributes we valorize as an imperial nation.  I only wish our values would lead us to select a different kind of person to hold such a critical post.

© 2013 The Unassuming Scholar

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